Artikel aus „Timer Digest“: Featured Advisor
Manfred Zimmel, born on July 12, 1974, is the editor of „Amanita Market Forecasting" since its inception in the year 2000. He first got active in the markets at the age of 15 where he says that he was, of course, part of the sheeple of the crowd, resulting in severe initial losses. But Manfred stresses how important this experience was, allowing him to learn a valuable lesson about market psychology.
Manfred started to study business administration at Vienna University of Economics & Business Administration at the age of 18. He had been interested in astronomy & astrology since childhood & thus dedicated his diploma thesis to the topic of astrology in a business context. The empirical research examined the incorporation horoscopes of more than 5,000 Austrian companies, 2/3 of them with an excellent credit rating, 1/3 bankruptcies. He states: "I wasn't amazed to find numerous statistically highly significant effects with random probabilities of less than one in 1,000. But I was surprised that some expected effects didn't show up at all & other strong effects were totally unexpected." Due to the success this research he continued with a doctoral thesis on a similar topic, laying the foundation for the market letter to be founded immediately afterwards. This was the first and so far only doctoral thesis dedicated to astrology in an economic context.
Manfred states that he faced major resistance from university professors: "Several years after I had left university suddenly the dean of the university contacted me & blackmailed me with mafia methods that I either had to remove the link from my homepage to the university or I would lose all my academic credentials. I never understood the narrow-mindedness of so many academics. They knew absolutely nothing about astrology yet condemned it."
Amanita Market Forecasting was founded on December 13, 2000 and has been very successful these years, expanding the subscriber base in 20+ countries around the world by hundreds of percent even though subscription prices have gone up five-fold. Manfred explains his approach: "For me the basis of success in the markets is the correct strategic choice, tactical market timingTiming ist in den Amanita-Prognosen so gut wie immer viel wichtiger, genauer & verläßlicher als Preise. Die Standardungenauigkeit für alle Timingangaben wenn nicht explizit anders angegeben ist immer +/- 1 Woche, außer für die Amanita-Pivots (+/- 1-2 Handelstage). is second. Buy-and-hold a bull market for many years is both the most profitable and easiest and yet psychologically also the most difficult. Still, market timingTiming ist in den Amanita-Prognosen so gut wie immer viel wichtiger, genauer & verläßlicher als Preise. Die Standardungenauigkeit für alle Timingangaben wenn nicht explizit anders angegeben ist immer +/- 1 Woche, außer für die Amanita-Pivots (+/- 1-2 Handelstage). helps to diversify the risks."
Some examples of important long-time forecasts: the beginning of the multi-year gold bull market on April 2, 2001 with yearly gains of some 20% each year was called almost to the day months in advance. The equities bull market started on March 9, 2009, two days later on March 11 Manfred made the bold call that likely the most severe bear market since the Great Depression had bottomed out and one of the biggest bull markets in history was ready to start. So far the stock indices have more than doubled.
The initial approach as a combination of astrology (an excellent timingTiming ist in den Amanita-Prognosen so gut wie immer viel wichtiger, genauer & verläßlicher als Preise. Die Standardungenauigkeit für alle Timingangaben wenn nicht explizit anders angegeben ist immer +/- 1 Woche, außer für die Amanita-Pivots (+/- 1-2 Handelstage). tool) with more conventional technical & fundamental analysis has expanded a lot the past years. "The nature of the markets has changed dramatically the past years. You can no longer apply many of the archaic methods, even if they have worked for decades, regardless of their background", warns Manfred. Amanita Market Forecasting is now probably the most unconventional market letter on the planet, based on unique methods not used by anyone else.
He is now totally convinced that since 2010 numerology is the key to the markets, no longer astrology: "I really got interested in numerology when the 2007-2009 bear market bottomed out at SPX 666 & DAX 3,666 - 666 is the number of the beast in the Holy Bible." In the past 3 years the secret codes in the markets were decoded, which allows extremely accurate timingTiming ist in den Amanita-Prognosen so gut wie immer viel wichtiger, genauer & verläßlicher als Preise. Die Standardungenauigkeit für alle Timingangaben wenn nicht explizit anders angegeben ist immer +/- 1 Woche, außer für die Amanita-Pivots (+/- 1-2 Handelstage)., often to the day since 2011 and allowed to be the number 1 S&P 500 timer in the 1-year ranking for the first time in the 9 years tracked by "Timer DigestTimer Digest ist eine US-Ratingagentur, die die Performance von Amanita Market Forecasting aufzeichnet und überwacht. Die mittelfristigen Amanita-Signale orientieren sich an den Regeln von Timer Digest.". The Amanita models are now mainly based on the "illuminati/ New World Order" numbers 11, 23, 33, 322, 666 & 911. Just recently in April 2012 the intermediate-term models could be improved again due to new insights.
"I have been cooperating with top dowsers & spiritual healers since 2008, that's why dowsings became an essential part of the Amanita forecasts in 2011. Reality is almost always much different than mainstream media want to make us believe. The news of the mainstream media almost always follow a hidden agenda and can't be trusted at all. That's why I regularly dowse the truth content of news", Manfred says. And he adds that he also gets a lot of valuable information from insider sources in business & politics.
The official long-term call may sound shocking, as it suggests the total collapse of the global economic & political system to start in August 2013, where dozens of factors are aligning. He expects a mild hyperinflationHyperinflation ist Inflation, die völlig aus dem Ruder gerät. Globale Hyperinflation im weiteren Sinne definiere ich als einen Anstieg der $-Inflation auf ein neues Allzeitzeithoch bei 20-30% pro Jahr, Hyperinflation im engeren Sinne ist 20-30% Inflation im Monat. to unfold by 2013, driving the inflation markets (equities & commodities) higher, finally culminating defaults of most or all major states.
Manfred continues: "I have warned many years in advance that 2011 would be the next minor peak of global war activity. In early 2012 the Heidelberg Institute of Conflict Research confirmed that 2011 had the highest numbers of wars since World War II. However, I am really concerned about 2017/18 when the global war peak of the 21st century is due, which is light years bigger than 2011. If there will be a 3rd World War in our life-time, it will hit us around 2017, and the trigger will most likely be an attack on Iran." Another important call is that the Kondratieff winter (which started in 2000 lasts until 2021/22), so in his opinion we are facing a very tough decade.